BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Chicago St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 348 Overall: (9-23) Overall Strength =   12.73
Conference: Div 1 Independent Record: (0-0) | District: 1-02 Record: (6-16)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  16.29  49  71    1 152 (26-10) Cleveland St            3.93    -25.93                      
 2 11-05-2025 Home    W   *  22.48  59  54    1 306 (15-17) Winthrop               10.12     -5.12                      
 3 11-09-2025 Away    L       7.21  58 116    1  20 (25-11) Notre Dame             -5.16 *  -52.84                      
 4 11-12-2025 Away    L   *  -9.35  52 101    1 139 (24-13) Illinois St           -21.71 *  -27.29                      
 5 11-17-2025 Away    L   *  32.56  75  86    1  99 (26- 6) W Illinois             20.19 *  -31.19                      
 6 11-24-2025 Away    L   *  13.60  57  67    1 299 ( 7-23) Northern Illinois       1.23    -11.23                      
 7 11-28-2025 Neutral L   *  12.65  53  80    1 109 (22-10) New Mexico              0.29 *  -27.29                      
 8 11-29-2025 Neutral L      13.06  53  67    1 239 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh              0.69    -14.69                      
 9 12-07-2025 Away    L   *   9.57  57  85    1 154 (20-13) Bradley                -2.79    -25.21                      
10 12-13-2025 Away    L   *  18.34  62  81    1 169 (15-18) Fresno St               5.98    -24.98                      
11 12-15-2025 Away    L      23.91  70  89    1 108 (12-18) Arizona                11.54 *  -30.54                      
12 12-17-2025 Away    L   *  13.66  55  69    1 263 ( 9-20) Utah Tech               1.29    -15.29                      
13 12-28-2025 Home    L      -2.31  44  97    1  41 (21-12) Clemson               -14.67 *  -38.33                      
14 01-02-2026 Away    L   *   7.10  51  62    1 329 (13-17) Wagner                 -5.26     -5.74                      
15 01-04-2026 Away    L   *  17.26  51  60    1 280 (21-11) LIU Brooklyn            4.89    -13.89                      
16 01-08-2026 Home    L   *   5.89  64  91    1 144 (30- 5) F Dickinson            -6.47    -20.53                      
17 01-10-2026 Home    W   *  14.60  51  48    1 335 (12-18) Stonehill               2.24      0.76                      
18 01-15-2026 Away    L       8.38  56  63   ZZ  34 ( 7-22) New Haven              -3.98     -3.02                      
19 01-17-2026 Away    W      19.22  61  55   ZZ  44 (12-21) Le Moyne                6.85     -0.85                      
20 01-22-2026 Home    W   *  14.16  73  64    1 354 ( 3-27) St Francis PA           1.80      7.20                      
21 01-24-2026 Home    L      11.15  76  77   ZZ  29 (15-17) Mercyhurst             -1.21      0.21                      
22 01-29-2026 Away    W   *  19.53  70  61    1 354 ( 3-27) St Francis PA           7.17      1.83                      
23 01-31-2026 Away    W      21.52  68  64   ZZ  29 (15-17) Mercyhurst              9.15     -5.15                      
24 02-05-2026 Home    W   *   7.42  75  69    1 355 ( 2-27) Central Conn           -4.94     10.94                      
25 02-07-2026 Home    W      13.01  60  57   ZZ  34 ( 7-22) New Haven               0.65      2.35                      
26 02-14-2026 Home    L       3.85  76  80   ZZ  44 (12-21) Le Moyne               -8.51      4.51                      
27 02-19-2026 Away    L   *  24.26  52  66    1 144 (30- 5) F Dickinson            11.90    -25.90                      
28 02-21-2026 Away    L   *  -4.21  75  86    1 355 ( 2-27) Central Conn          -16.58      5.58                      
29 02-26-2026 Home    L   *   5.89  68  83    1 280 (21-11) LIU Brooklyn           -6.47     -8.53                      
30 02-28-2026 Home    W   *  21.73  84  75    1 329 (13-17) Wagner                  9.37     -0.37                      
31 03-05-2026 Away    L   *   8.97  61  69    1 335 (12-18) Stonehill              -3.40     -4.60                      
32 03-09-2026 Away    L   *   4.26  77  99    1 280 (21-11) LIU Brooklyn           -8.11    -13.89                      
      Averages              12.36  62.3 74.8

Best game:   32.56 = 11 point loss to W Illinois
Worst game:  -9.35 = 49 point loss to Illinois St
Team stdev:   8.87